The polls show he’s behind, he’s had the faux pas with his former pastor calling down hellfire on the US, he’s got that little “religion and guns” quote, Hillary is saying he’s not up to the challenge, Pennsylvania is not his demographic, and even Obama himself is not expecting a win – just hoping to keep it close.

That’s a bunch of negatives all coming together on the eve of a contested primary. How could anyone in their right mind predict an Obama win? Well, here it is, it’s simple, it’s clear, and it’s compelling:

Via NEDRA PICKLER and LIZ SIDOTI, Associated Press Writers:

Larry Perry, a 57-year-old Vietnam veteran from New Milford, pressed Obama on what he would do for troops returning from Iraq.

“You want my vote? Let’s hear it,” Perry said. Obama gave a quick outline of his proposals, including opening more Veterans Affairs clinics.

“He convinced me,” Perry said afterward. “I liked what he said. I’m tired of the Clintons. I’m tired of the Bushes.”

Could it be that simple? I think so. I believe that Hillary has shown her true colors during this race and that the people of Pennsylvania are going to end her candidacy. A bold prediction, particularly in light of all the negatives for Obama. But the sentiment of being sick and tired of the status quo and all associated with it, has legs. If I’m wrong, I’ll take my lumps Wednesday. Don’t be surprised if he pulls the upset, and remember, you heard it here first.