Welcome to the final Conference Strength Report for the 2007 college football season. I started this report last fall and now will present the data and make a call on the order of the BCS conferences now that play is complete. As always, the data is fact, the interpretation is up for discussion. Just because things are ordered this way this year, does not guarantee that the next year will follow the same pattern. In fact, it’s virtually guaranteed to be different.
Reminder, Out-of-Conference (OOC) account for all games against all teams played out of conference, no DIAA or no patsy accounts for games against other DIA opponents out of conference, and BCS only or Big Boy win rate accounts for out of conference games against other BCS teams. So, without further ado, here is the final table:
Comments on each conference follow, in alphabetical order:
- ACC – Bowl record, 2-6.
- Big East – Bowl record, 5-3.
- Big 10 – Bowl record, 3-5.
- Big 12 – Bowl record, 5-3.
- Pac 10 – Bowl record, 4-2.
- SEC – Bowl record, 7-2.
The final conference ranking for 2007 is:
- SEC – Can remove any doubt of superiority by doing two things: schedule fewer DIAA games and schedule a couple more Big Boy OOC games.
- Pac 10 – Kudos for only 2 DIAA games and strong OOC games against Big Boys.
- Big 12 – Good bowl season (Oklahoma aside,) need to win more against the Big Boys next year.
- Big 10 – Need to schedule fewer DIAA patsies (and beat them) and win their bowl games.
- Big East – Need better Big Boy win rate, even with the impressive WVU win.
- ACC – Need better OOC and Big Boy win rate.
- Notre Dame – Need to win games.
Prior Conference Strength Reports (CSRs) are available below:
- CSR: Pre-bowl Through December 1, 2007
- CSR: Through November 24, 2007
- Yes, I skipped November 17th. So shoot me.
- CSR: Through November 10, 2007
- CSR: Through November 3, 2007
- CSR: Through October 28, 2007
- CSR: Through October 21, 2007
- CSR: Through October 13, 2007
- Original Conference Strength Report: Through September 27, 2007
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MWC 2007:
OOC Record, 24-17= 68%
No DIAA OOC Record, 12-7 = 63%
OOC BCS Record (including bowl games as above), 9-10= 47%
Bowl Record= 4-1 (Air Force QB went down with knee injury and Cal came from way behind to win).
Although the MWC is ranked 7th of all conferences, from these stats it looks like it is in good company with several of the BCS conferences this year.
Another interesting stat is that over the last 5 years, the MWC has nearly a 69% win record in bowl games. Over the same period, the other 11 conferences have the following bowl win records:
SEC- 63%
Pac-10- 59%
Big East- 58%
Big 12- 52%
ACC- 48%
WAC- 47%
C-USA- 41%
Big 10- 39%
Sun Belt- 33%
MAC- 30%
While the MWC plays against mainly top level “mid-major†and mid-level BCS competition in its bowls, I think it begs the question as to if it would be much worse than other BCS conferences if it competed with mid to upper BCS level competition.
Do you have the last 4-5 years stats for the BCS as given above? I would love to see how the MWC stacks up.
Great comment CFBFan, It’s my intent next year to include all DI conferences. As you say, the MWC has a comparable record.
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