Archive for the 'Geothermal' Category
8 more leases for Raser
In what is becoming a routine occurrence, Raser Technologies announced that it has secured another 9,889 acres of geothermal leases in Central Utah. That brings the total leased acres up to 28,091. Raser has entered into an agreement with UTC Power for 135 PureCycle binary power units. The next thing to see in the development cycle is a power purchase agreement. While immediate details of these properties are not available, transmission access will be a big hurdle to clear as well.
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Raft River closer to Reality
Condenser unit being transported to the site
U.S. Geothermal has entered the press release business too. But, they actually had some interesting things to share today about their Raft River project in Idaho:
* Power plant equipment and cooling tower foundations are complete
* The generator, main transformer, air compressors and pentane storage
tanks have been delivered to the site
* The cooling tower is under construction
* Industrial Builders of Ontario, Oregon was awarded the mechanical
construction contract by Ormat and began fabrication work in February
* The award of the electrical construction contract is anticipated in April
* The Ormat turbines, and Level One heat exchangers have been shipped
from the Ormat factory in Israel and are in transit
* Fabrication of the power plant condenser and demister is completeNew photos of the construction site and equipment are posted in the Gallery section on our website at www.usgeothermal.com.
In addition, Raft River Rural Electric Cooperative has finished construction of the 3.2-mile power transmission line that connects the power plant to the Bonneville Power Administration substation at Bridge, Idaho. Equipment upgrades to the substation including a breaker, relays, and communications systems are underway.
This constitutes real progress for the company and shows that a new geothermal production area will be online shortly.
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Raser acquires yet another lease
Raser Technologies has been in the news alot lately. Today they’ve announced another 4,000+ acres of leased land in central Utah. One has to wonder if the press release strategy will cause a backlash as the timeline and costs for development become clear to investors.
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While waiting for Calpine’s announcement
You might want to take the time to review their recently filed annual report. There is a treasure trove of information disclosed in this document about Calpine and its 273 subsidiary companies. It’s clear that Calpine is endeavoring to position itself as a “clean energy provider” and the crown jewel of that effort is the Geysers geothermal plant portfolio.
The Geysers has been under development since the early 1960s, it’s an active seismic area about 75 miles north-northeast of San Francisco that produces hot, dry steam, a reasonably rare geothermal resource (there are 5 such fields in production globally.) The 1980’s saw massive expansion in the area and production peaked at around 2250MW in 1989, but there was a problem. Steam pressure was dropping quickly and no one seemed to know what to do about it.
The basic problem was over production coupled with exhausting the geothermal resource into the atmosphere. The Geysers plants in general, have production wells that route the steam to turbines attached to generators. After the steam is “used”, it is routed to a condenser and then to a cooling tower where 70% of the mass is emitted into the atmosphere and about 30% returns to liquid state. Along the way, non-condensable gases are removed (like Sulphur, Mercury, and Vanandium) to eliminate atmospheric pollution.
Since the 1990’s, the 30% condensed liquid has been injected back into the reservoir which helped slow the decline in steam pressure. In the late-1990’s, two pipelines were constructed from Clearlake and Santa Rosa pump around 19 million gallons per day of treated wastewater (grey water – aptly named “flush to flash”) to the field for injection into the reservoir. This has served to stabilize the reservoir at around 900MW gross output, with slight declines still seen year over year.
Calpine acquired 20 of the 22 operating plants from PG&E in 1999 for a reported bargain price of $155M. As of the information in the most recent report, the 19 operating plants (1 remains offline) produced 6.6 million megawatt hours in 2006, at market prices of $70 per megawatt hour, around $462 million dollars worth of power from a reported 725MW portfolio. The numbers don’t quite add up as that would put the the capacity factor of the 725MW at 105% vs. the 90-95% that is common for geothermal operators. (Note: The other two plants at the Geysers are owned and operated by the Northern California Power Association currently producing some 132MW gross, 120MW net. And it’s interesting to note that US Renewables is reviving the Bottlerock plant and Western GeoPower is riviving PG&E’s old Unit 15 plant.)
While the geothermal portion of the Calpine portfolio performed well, it’s clear that the natural gas segment is sagging. Between interest charges and fuel expense, it’s a money losing operation. Fuel costs increased to 48.3% of revenue in 2006 from 45.7% in 2005 (it is true that absolute fuel cost decreased to $3.2B in 2006 vs $4.6B in the same period, divestiture of non-performing plants has helped.) Interest expense increased to 18.8% of revenue from 13.8% the prior year (absolute value again decreased to $1.2B from $1.4B.)
As Calpine is snagged up, I have to wonder what the purchaser will do with the Geysers asset. It’s clear that the unit would be profitable on its own. Perhaps a spin out?
Drilling continues at Blue Mountain
Nevada Geothermal Power issued a release today outlining plans for more drilling on the Blue Mountain project. One of the more difficult and risky activities in any geothermal project is the drilling phase which costs an average of $1,300 per meter drilled for production wells. NGP announced that it has engaged ThermaSource to commence drilling activities May 1 of this year and that they will extend well #38-14 from it’s present depth of just over 600m (~2,000 feet) to just under 1,100m (~3,500 feet.) If necessary, a second production well will be drilled to tap the resource. Our estimate for costs for this activity could range from $650,000 to $1,950,000.
Our research shows that the average production well is capable of producing 4MW of output, this is dependent on resource temperature, pressure, and flow rates. The best known producing geothermal wells are in Iceland with an output of 15MW per well. The Blue Mountain project has a most likely field production estimate created by Geothermex of 47MW. Thus, to fully harvest the field, we estimate NGP will need to drill between 10-12 production wells and at least 3 injection wells. Given that the field depth is between 600 and 1200 meters, we estimate the drilling cost for the total project to come in between $17M and $21M if all of the drilled wells are productive.